Governor Uba Sani of Kaduna State has dismissed claims of a northern backlash against President Bola Tinubu, predicting that the President could win between 70 and 80 per cent of votes in Kaduna State during the 2027 presidential election. The governor made the prediction during an interview on Channels Television while assessing the political developments, […]

Governor Uba Sani of Kaduna State has dismissed claims of a northern backlash against President Bola Tinubu, predicting that the President could win between 70 and 80 per cent of votes in Kaduna State during the 2027 presidential election.

The governor made the prediction during an interview on Channels Television while assessing the political developments, realignments and growing competition ahead of the next general election.

Sani said the belief that northern voters were turning away from Tinubu was being driven largely by political narratives and social media discussions, rather than the reality among voters. He maintained that the electorate would judge the President by the performance of his administration and the benefits people believed they were receiving from it.

The governor acknowledged that Kaduna delivered a different result in the 2023 presidential election, when Atiku Abubakar defeated Tinubu with 554,360 votes against the President’s 399,293. However, he argued that the political situation in the state had changed significantly, making it difficult to assume that the voting pattern recorded three years ago would be repeated in 2027.

According to Sani, the defection of politicians from opposition parties into the APC, especially in southern Kaduna, could play a major role in changing the state’s political calculations. He also cited Federal Government projects in Kaduna under Tinubu, including the Federal University of Science and Technology in southern Kaduna and a federal medical centre, as developments that could strengthen support for the President.

Sani also addressed questions surrounding former governor Nasir El-Rufai and his political associates as tensions continue within the APC. He declined to make the 2027 contest about individual personalities, saying he respected El-Rufai and other former leaders of Kaduna but remained focused on building the APC and taking its message to voters across the state.

The governor further urged Nigerians to be more critical of campaign promises ahead of the 2027 elections. He said voters should demand practical explanations from politicians about how they intend to finance and implement their promises instead of simply accepting attractive pledges without questioning their feasibility.

Sani strongly rejected the suggestion that Tinubu was facing a political backlash in the North, insisting that such a development was not possible. He predicted that the President would perform strongly across the Northwest, Northeast and North-Central zones, while arguing that the APC must continue highlighting its achievements to retain and expand its support.

He also warned politicians against relying solely on television appearances and social media to win elections, stressing the importance of grassroots mobilisation.

Sani said serious presidential campaigns must reach voters in communities and wards across the country, maintaining that the 2027 contest would ultimately depend on sustained engagement with the electorate.